PIPING & EQUIPMENT-
A Member of AD
October * November
* December 1998
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Affiliated Distributors recently
completed their 15th annual 1998 A-D North American Meeting in Dallas, Texas. This
years theme "United in Excellence" offered a forum for over 1600
affiliates and manufacturers to experience a unique opportunity to meet and share best
practices and discuss business topics of mutual interest and common concern. Comprised of
over 275 local market leading independent distributors of electrical, industrial, and
industrial PVF products, whose collective sales volume is over $13.5 billion, they have
grown considerably since their founding in 1981.
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A-D is a world class marketing
organization made up of three separate divisions; the Electrical Supply Division (founded
in 1981), the Industrial Supply Division (founded in 1994), and the Industrial Pipe, Valve
and Fittings Division (established in 1995). Without exception, A-D Affiliates are
independent, entrepreneurial distributors who are leaders in their local and/or regional
trading areas, professionally managed, market oriented, and financially strong.
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They offer marketing programs and expertise,
sophisticated forums for intra-organization communications, high level relationships with
leading manufacturers, innovative technical solutions, and executive sales support.
A-Ds National and Regional Account Programs for commercial, institutional, and
industrial customers offer superior, customized services at a competitive price. The
effectiveness of the working partnerships forged between the Affiliate, the A-D supporting
manufacturers and the customer inevitably results in productivity and profitability gains
for the customer.
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A-D offers reduced procurement costs for
industrial customers with multiple facilities and diverse product needs using A-Ds
family of proprietary software applications called A-D Edge ®.
These Windows based software applications track purchasing, shipping and inventory of MRO
materials for single and multi-plant facilities. This product is regarded as the most
powerful requisitioning tool in the manufacturing and distribution industry today.
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A-Ds solid mission, unique structure,
and sound principles enhance the strength of knowledgeable and devoted independent
distributors who offer name-brand products and superior service. For most industrial
customers, A-D divisions cover over 70% of MRO product requirements. Through the
utilization of the following resources, A-D is able to service product and needs using:
- A-D Supplier Relations
- A-D Marketing Programs
- Networking
- A-Ds Commercial Sales and Service Program
- A-Ds Industrial Sales and Services for Integrated
Supply
- A-Ds Technology Resources
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Page 2
| Pricing- Manufacturers report
mixed predictions on pricing trends from 1% 2 1 /2 % down to 1 5% up. One
manufacturer reports 1 2 1 /2 % down due to low cost foreign coils entering the
market. However, several report from 1% to 5% increases from raw material costs. One
manufacturer comment was "nowhere to go but up" with the current levelsbeing
unsustainable.
Lead Times There appears to be unusually high inventories at the mill
level with 60% to 90% of commodity items shipping from stock. Lead times for commodity
items if not in stock are 3 to 6 weeks. Specialty items are shipping in 8 12 weeks,
with one manufacturer reporting |
16 20 weeks.
Comments A flood of imports combined with plenty of domestic capacity
has created a depressed market for pricing all this year. The results of the final review
of Ta Chens activities are not yet concluded. Temporary findings on the two
stainless flat rolled cases are due between late October and early November. Through the
first seven months of 1998, pipe imports are up 38% compared to the same period in 1997.
Raw material pricing on nickel went from $1.964 in July to $1.852 per lb. in August
98. Moly pricing slipped from $3.756 to $3.30 per lb. over the same period. |
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STAINLESS STEEL
WELD FITTINGS
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Pricing - Several manufacturers indicate pricing will decrease from 1% to 5% during
this quarter. Continued pressure from foreign competition is driving domestic prices down.
There is an abundance of butt weld fittings both domestic and foreign. Some pricing will
be determined by inquiry and the manufacturers need for business.
Lead Times
Commodity shipments are 2 3 weeks, with fill rates of 80% 90%. Large
OD fittings are running approximately 4 weeks, with few exceptions. Deliveries for
specials are 2 6 weeks. Some specials have actually improved |
to the 3
4 week slot due to the availability of raw material.
Comments
Some manufacturers have a dumping suit. This may have an influence on both pipe and
fittings in the next 6 8 months. Ta Chen is the major influence on foreign
stainless fittings. They currently are the people to beat, but more foreign product will
probably be coming. Look for continuous increases in strip and very possibly a cutback of
25% on manufacturing time for strip. This and the dumping suit may force the prices up
after the first of the year. |
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STAINLESS 150
AND HI-PRESSURE FITTINGS
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Pricing - Manufacturers are reporting mixed signals with no change or 1%
2 1 /2 % decrease being the forecast. Foreign pressure and demand is the driving
force. One manufacturer noted that most price decreases do "stick"!
Lead Times
The forecast for lead times is 1 3 weeks. There are fewer projects;
therefore, manufacturers are building more complete |
inventories
with fill rates of 90% to 100%.
Comments
Increasing foreign competition from the Far East, Europe and Africa! Nickel is at a
10 year low. Some production cuts are underway worldwide, which could move prices upward. |
| Pricing - Manufacturers report
pricing forecast to be from 1% to 5% down with demand, competition, supply, foreign
pressure, and raw material costs pushing the downward trend.
Lead Times Lead times on commodity items are running from 2 to 4 weeks,
with 60% to 80% shipping from stock. Lead times on "exotic" |
items
are 6 8 weeks.
Comments One manufacturer noted that the market normally firms up in
the last quarter after the summer doldrums. However, the Asian crisis is the wild card!
Foreign competition continues to be strong. |
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CARBON STEEL
PIPE (CONTINUOUS WELD) |
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Pricing-- Manufacturers forecast a price increase of 8%, but one manufacturer indicates the price will probably hold
at 2 1 /2 to 3%. Last quarter ended with price decreases of 1 to 2 1 /2 %.
Lead Times
Lead times for stock items are 1 to 3 weeks with fill rates of 90% to 100%. Some minor
inventory shortages were reported at a few mills. Lead times for specials are 23
weeks. |
Comments Several dumping suits are
in effect now. Many Asian countries are reportedly trying to dump pipe into the U.S.
Foreign competition is increasing from South Africa, Canada, Mexico, Korea and Japan.
Ferrous scrap for flat rolled steel (welded pipe raw material) is going down with a $20
$30 per ton reduction during the past six months. |
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CARBON STEEL
PIPE (ERW & SEAMLESS) |
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Pricing -- Manufacturers indicate the forecast for seamless and ERW is for
pricing to remain stable. Any changes in the near future will be tied to alterations in
flat rolled pricing.
Lead Times
Fill rates for commodity items is 60% to 80%, with lead times running 4 to 8 weeks.
Larger ODs (14" and 16") will extend as far as three to four months. |
Comments There are threats that the U.S. will file dumping suits on
Japan, South Africa, Romania, and the Czech Republic very soon regarding dumping suits.
Manufacturers report that foreign competition from Japan is back, and we should look for
foreign seamless prices to decrease during the 1 st quarter of 1999. |
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CARBON STEEL
WELD FITTINGS AND FLANGES
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| Pricing - Several manufacturers report no forecasted change in prices this quarter;
however, one manufacturer reports a 5% 7 1 /2 % decrease from raw material costs, capacity, foreign
pressure, supply and competition. Lead Times Lead times are running from 1 to 6 weeks for commodity items
from stock with 60% to 90% fill rates. Demand is reported to be softer. |
Exotic item lead times are
quoted at 4 8 weeks. Comments It is reported that foreign competition continues to increase, but
domestic suppliers are holding prices. Reports indicate continued increase in foreign
competition from Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Italy, India, Mexico, Thailand, and Malaysia. |
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note that arrows inserted after pricing is only a "Best Guess" of pricing
direction after compiling information from select suppliers. It does not reflect input
from all manufacturers nor does it include study of national economic indicators. |
Page 3
Pricing Manufacturers report a 3% 5% increase in
forged steel pricing this quarter. This increase is a result of raw material costs and
competition.
Lead Times
The lead times for commodity forged steel fittings is 2 3 weeks and 1
2 weeks for nipples. The overall inventory is going up, which is providing for better
service. |
Therefore,
we are seeing 80% 90% fill rates on fittings and 90% to 100% fill rates on nipples.
Lead times for non-stock specials are 2 3 weeks.
Comments
The foreign competition for forged steel fittings and couplings is increasing from
Europe. |
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STAINLESS
GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS |
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| Pricing The forecast
from manufacturers for this quarter is for no price change.
Lead Times Manufacturers report lead time on commodity
shipments of 6 8 weeks, and fill rates of 90 to 100% from stock. Exotic lead
times are reported from 4 6 weeks with |
one
manufacturer to as long as 12 16 weeks with another. The improvement in lead-time is
a result of better casting response.
Comments The report on foreign imports remains steady. |
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FORGED STEEL
GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS |
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| Pricing Manufacturers indicate no
price change for this quarter. Lead Times
Deliveries are 2 3 weeks. Fill rates of 90% 100% for commodity items. Lead
times for non-stock special items are running approximately 4 to 6 weeks. |
Manufacturing
improvements are responsible for better lead times and fill rates. Comments Foreign competition is
reportedly increasing from Italy and China. |
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BRONZE AND IRON
GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS |
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| Pricing Manufacturers report that bronze and iron remain stable with no
forecasted price change for this quarter. Lead Times Deliveries continue at 3 to 4 |
weeks with fill rates of 90%
to 100%. Comments No
change in this market over the prior quarter. |
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CAST STEEL GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS |
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Pricing Manufacturers report mixed indicators of no
change in pricing from one and an increase of 1% 2 1 /2 % from another. The
increase is a result of competition and raw material costs. However, the price increase is
noted to be mainly project oriented.
Lead Times
Cast Steel valve deliveries |
for
commodity items are quoted to be 2 4 weeks, with fill rates of 70% to 90%.
Non-stock specials are shipping in 12 to 16 weeks.
Comments
Manufacturers report no change in pricing, but they indicate that they are getting
pressure from their vendors. |
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QUARTER TURN VALVES BALL AND WAFER
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Pricing Manufacturers report no change
in pricing for ball valves.
Lead Times
Commodity item deliveries are shipping in 2 3 weeks. One manufacturer
reports 70% of commodity items shipping in 1 2 weeks, with the balance shipping in
4 6 weeks. |
Fill rates
are running 80% 100%. Non-stock special items are reported to be shipping in 8 to
16 weeks.
Comments
Foreign competition is increasing from the Far East and Italy. |
Happy Holidays
from the staff
of
Piping
& Equipment
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