Piping & Equipment, Inc.


   PIPING & EQUIPMENT- A Member of AD                                   October * November * December 1998

 

UNITED IN EXCELLENCE

Affiliated Distributors recently completed their 15th annual 1998 A-D North American Meeting in Dallas, Texas. This year’s theme "United in Excellence" offered a forum for over 1600 affiliates and manufacturers to experience a unique opportunity to meet and share best practices and discuss business topics of mutual interest and common concern. Comprised of over 275 local market leading independent distributors of electrical, industrial, and industrial PVF products, whose collective sales volume is over $13.5 billion, they have grown considerably since their founding in 1981.

A-D is a world class marketing organization made up of three separate divisions; the Electrical Supply Division (founded in 1981), the Industrial Supply Division (founded in 1994), and the Industrial Pipe, Valve and Fittings Division (established in 1995). Without exception, A-D Affiliates are independent, entrepreneurial distributors who are leaders in their local and/or regional trading areas, professionally managed, market oriented, and financially strong.

They offer marketing programs and expertise, sophisticated forums for intra-organization communications, high level relationships with leading manufacturers, innovative technical solutions, and executive sales support. A-D’s National and Regional Account Programs for commercial, institutional, and industrial customers offer superior, customized services at a competitive price. The effectiveness of the working partnerships forged between the Affiliate, the A-D supporting manufacturers and the customer inevitably results in productivity and profitability gains for the customer.

A-D offers reduced procurement costs for industrial customers with multiple facilities and diverse product needs using A-D’s family of proprietary software applications called A-D Edge ®. These Windows based software applications track purchasing, shipping and inventory of MRO materials for single and multi-plant facilities. This product is regarded as the most powerful requisitioning tool in the manufacturing and distribution industry today.

A-D’s solid mission, unique structure, and sound principles enhance the strength of knowledgeable and devoted independent distributors who offer name-brand products and superior service. For most industrial customers, A-D divisions cover over 70% of MRO product requirements. Through the utilization of the following resources, A-D is able to service product and needs using:

  • A-D Supplier Relations
    • A-D Marketing Programs
      • Networking
        • A-D’s Commercial Sales and Service Program
          • A-D’s Industrial Sales and Services for Integrated Supply
            • A-D’s Technology Resources

 


Page 2

STAINLESS STEEL PIPE

Pricing- Manufacturers report mixed predictions on pricing trends from 1% – 2 1 /2 % down to 1 – 5% up. One manufacturer reports 1 – 2 1 /2 % down due to low cost foreign coils entering the market. However, several report from 1% to 5% increases from raw material costs. One manufacturer comment was "nowhere to go but up" with the current levelsbeing unsustainable.

Lead Times – There appears to be unusually high inventories at the mill level with 60% to 90% of commodity items shipping from stock. Lead times for commodity items if not in stock are 3 to 6 weeks. Specialty items are shipping in 8 – 12 weeks, with one manufacturer reporting

16 – 20 weeks.

Comments – A flood of imports combined with plenty of domestic capacity has created a depressed market for pricing all this year. The results of the final review of Ta Chen’s activities are not yet concluded. Temporary findings on the two stainless flat rolled cases are due between late October and early November. Through the first seven months of 1998, pipe imports are up 38% compared to the same period in 1997. Raw material pricing on nickel went from $1.964 in July to $1.852 per lb. in August ’98. Moly pricing slipped from $3.756 to $3.30 per lb. over the same period.

 

STAINLESS STEEL WELD FITTINGS

Pricing - Several manufacturers indicate pricing will decrease from 1% to 5% during this quarter. Continued pressure from foreign competition is driving domestic prices down. There is an abundance of butt weld fittings both domestic and foreign. Some pricing will be determined by inquiry and the manufacturers need for business.

Lead Times – Commodity shipments are 2 – 3 weeks, with fill rates of 80% – 90%. Large OD fittings are running approximately 4 weeks, with few exceptions. Deliveries for specials are 2 – 6 weeks. Some specials  have actually  improved

to the 3 – 4 week slot due to the availability of raw material.

Comments – Some manufacturers have a dumping suit. This may have an influence on both pipe and fittings in the next 6 – 8 months. Ta Chen is the major influence on foreign stainless fittings. They currently are the people to beat, but more foreign product will probably be coming. Look for continuous increases in strip and very possibly a cutback of 25% on manufacturing time for strip. This and the dumping suit may force the prices up after the first of the year.

 

STAINLESS 150 AND HI-PRESSURE FITTINGS

Pricing - Manufacturers are reporting mixed signals with no change or 1% – 2 1 /2 % decrease being the forecast. Foreign pressure and demand is the driving force. One manufacturer noted that most price decreases do "stick"!

Lead Times –The forecast for lead times is 1 – 3 weeks. There are fewer projects; therefore,  manufacturers are building more complete

inventories with fill rates of 90% to 100%.

Comments – Increasing foreign competition from the Far East, Europe and Africa! Nickel is at a 10 year low. Some production cuts are underway worldwide, which could move prices upward.

 

STAINLESS STEEL FLANGES

Pricing - Manufacturers report pricing forecast to be from 1% to 5% down with demand, competition, supply, foreign pressure, and raw material costs pushing the downward trend.

Lead Times – Lead times on commodity items are running from 2 to 4 weeks, with 60% to 80% shipping from stock.  Lead times on  "exotic"

items are 6 – 8 weeks.

Comments – One manufacturer noted that the market normally firms up in the last quarter after the summer doldrums. However, the Asian crisis is the wild card! Foreign competition continues to be strong.

 

CARBON STEEL PIPE (CONTINUOUS WELD)

Pricing--  Manufacturers forecast a price increase of 8%, but one manufacturer indicates the price will probably hold at 2 1 /2 to 3%. Last quarter ended with price decreases of 1 to 2 1 /2 %.

Lead Times – Lead times for stock items are 1 to 3 weeks with fill rates of 90% to 100%. Some minor inventory shortages were reported at a few mills. Lead times for specials are 2–3 weeks.

Comments – Several dumping suits are in effect now. Many Asian countries are reportedly trying to dump pipe into the U.S. Foreign competition is increasing from South Africa, Canada, Mexico, Korea and Japan. Ferrous scrap for flat rolled steel (welded pipe raw material) is going down with a $20 – $30 per ton reduction during the past six months.

 

CARBON STEEL PIPE (ERW & SEAMLESS)

Pricing-- Manufacturers indicate the forecast for seamless and ERW is for pricing to remain stable. Any changes in the near future will be tied to alterations in flat rolled pricing.

Lead Times – Fill rates for commodity items is 60% to 80%, with lead times running 4 to 8 weeks. Larger OD’s (14" and 16") will extend as far as three to four months.

Comments – There are threats that the U.S. will file dumping suits on Japan, South Africa, Romania, and the Czech Republic very soon regarding dumping suits. Manufacturers report that foreign competition from Japan is back, and we should look for foreign seamless prices to decrease during the 1 st quarter of 1999.

 

CARBON STEEL WELD FITTINGS AND FLANGES

Pricing - Several manufacturers report no forecasted change in prices this quarter; however, one manufacturer reports a 5% – 7 1 /2 % decrease from raw material costs, capacity, foreign pressure, supply and competition.

Lead Times – Lead times are running from 1 to 6 weeks for commodity items from stock with 60% to 90% fill rates.  Demand is reported to be softer.

Exotic item lead times are quoted at 4 – 8 weeks.

Comments – It is reported that foreign competition continues to increase, but domestic suppliers are holding prices. Reports indicate continued increase in foreign competition from Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Italy, India, Mexico, Thailand, and Malaysia.

Please note that arrows inserted after pricing is only a "Best Guess" of pricing direction after compiling information from select suppliers. It does not reflect input from all manufacturers nor does it include study of national economic indicators.

Page 3

FORGED STEEL FITTINGS

Pricing    Manufacturers report a 3% – 5% increase in forged steel pricing this quarter. This increase is a result of raw material costs and competition.

Lead Times – The lead times for commodity forged steel fittings is 2 – 3 weeks and 1 – 2 weeks for nipples. The overall inventory is going up, which is providing for better service.

Therefore, we are seeing 80% – 90% fill rates on fittings and 90% to 100% fill rates on nipples. Lead times for non-stock specials are 2 – 3 weeks.

Comments – The foreign competition for forged steel fittings and couplings is increasing from Europe.

 

STAINLESS GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS

Pricing   The forecast from manufacturers for this quarter is for no price change.

Lead Times –   Manufacturers  report  lead time  on commodity shipments of 6 – 8 weeks, and fill rates of 90  to 100% from stock. Exotic lead times are reported from 4 – 6 weeks with

one manufacturer to as long as 12 –16 weeks with another. The improvement in lead-time is a result of better casting response.

Comments – The report on foreign imports remains steady.

 

FORGED STEEL GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS

Pricing    Manufacturers indicate no price change for this quarter.

Lead Times – Deliveries are 2 – 3 weeks. Fill rates of 90% – 100% for commodity items. Lead times for non-stock special items are running approximately 4 to 6 weeks.

Manufacturing improvements are responsible for better lead times and fill rates.

Comments – Foreign competition is reportedly increasing from Italy and China.

 

BRONZE AND IRON GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS

Pricing   Manufacturers report that bronze and iron remain stable with no forecasted price change for this quarter.

Lead Times – Deliveries continue at 3 to 4

weeks with fill rates of 90% to 100%.

Comments – No change in this market over the prior quarter.

 

CAST STEEL GATES, GLOBES, CHECKS

Pricing    Manufacturers report mixed indicators of no change in pricing from one and an increase of 1% – 2 1 /2 % from another. The increase is a result of competition and raw material costs. However, the price increase is noted to be mainly project oriented.

Lead Times – Cast Steel valve deliveries

for commodity items are quoted to be 2 – 4 weeks, with fill rates of 70% to 90%. Non-stock specials are shipping in 12 to 16 weeks.

Comments – Manufacturers report no change in pricing, but they indicate that they are getting pressure from their vendors.

QUARTER TURN VALVES — BALL AND WAFER

Pricing  Manufacturers report no change in pricing for ball valves.

Lead Times – Commodity item deliveries are shipping in 2 – 3 weeks. One manufacturer reports 70% of commodity items shipping in 1 – 2 weeks, with the balance shipping in 4 – 6 weeks.

Fill rates are running 80% – 100%. Non-stock special items are reported to be shipping in 8 to 16 weeks.

Comments – Foreign competition is increasing from the Far East and Italy.

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Happy Holidays             

                           from the staff of                      

   Piping & Equipment



© 2009 Piping & Equipment, Inc. 
June 19, 2009

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